When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

Published on May 13, 2022 by Shaun Turney. Revised on December 5, 2022.

The Pearson correlation coefficient (r) is the most common way of measuring a linear correlation. It is a number between –1 and 1 that measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables.

Pearson correlation coefficient (r)Correlation typeInterpretationExample
Between 0 and 1 Positive correlation When one variable changes, the other variable changes in the same direction. Baby length & weight:

The longer the baby, the heavier their weight.

0 No correlation There is no relationship between the variables. Car price & width of windshield wipers:

The price of a car is not related to the width of its windshield wipers.

Between
0 and –1
Negative correlation When one variable changes, the other variable changes in the opposite direction. Elevation & air pressure:

The higher the elevation, the lower the air pressure.

What is the Pearson correlation coefficient?

The Pearson correlation coefficient (r) is the most widely used correlation coefficient and is known by many names:

  • Pearson’s r
  • Bivariate correlation
  • Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC)
  • The correlation coefficient

The Pearson correlation coefficient is a descriptive statistic, meaning that it summarizes the characteristics of a dataset. Specifically, it describes the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two quantitative variables.

Although interpretations of the relationship strength (also known as effect size) vary between disciplines, the table below gives general rules of thumb:

Pearson correlation coefficient (r) valueStrengthDirection
Greater than .5 Strong Positive
Between .3 and .5 Moderate Positive
Between 0 and .3 Weak Positive
0 None None
Between 0 and –.3 Weak Negative
Between –.3 and –.5 Moderate Negative
Less than –.5 Strong Negative

The Pearson correlation coefficient is also an inferential statistic, meaning that it can be used to test statistical hypotheses. Specifically, we can test whether there is a significant relationship between two variables.

Visualizing the Pearson correlation coefficient

Another way to think of the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) is as a measure of how close the observations are to a line of best fit.

The Pearson correlation coefficient also tells you whether the slope of the line of best fit is negative or positive. When the slope is negative, r is negative. When the slope is positive, r is positive.

When r is 1 or –1, all the points fall exactly on the line of best fit:

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When r is greater than .5 or less than –.5, the points are close to the line of best fit:

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When r is between 0 and .3 or between 0 and –.3, the points are far from the line of best fit:

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When r is 0, a line of best fit is not helpful in describing the relationship between the variables:

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When to use the Pearson correlation coefficient

The Pearson correlation coefficient (r) is one of several correlation coefficients that you need to choose between when you want to measure a correlation. The Pearson correlation coefficient is a good choice when all of the following are true:

  • Both variables are quantitative: You will need to use a different method if either of the variables is qualitative.
  • The variables are normally distributed: You can create a histogram of each variable to verify whether the distributions are approximately normal. It’s not a problem if the variables are a little non-normal.
  • The data have no outliers: Outliers are observations that don’t follow the same patterns as the rest of the data. A scatterplot is one way to check for outliers—look for points that are far away from the others.
  • The relationship is linear: “Linear” means that the relationship between the two variables can be described reasonably well by a straight line. You can use a scatterplot to check whether the relationship between two variables is linear.

Pearson vs. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient is another widely used correlation coefficient. It’s a better choice than the Pearson correlation coefficient when one or more of the following is true:

  • The variables are ordinal.
  • The variables aren’t normally distributed.
  • The data includes outliers.
  • The relationship between the variables is non-linear and monotonic.

Calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient

Below is a formula for calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient (r):

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

The formula is easy to use when you follow the step-by-step guide below. You can also use software such as R or Excel to calculate the Pearson correlation coefficient for you.

Example: DatasetImagine that you’re studying the relationship between newborns’ weight and length. You have the weights and lengths of the 10 babies born last month at your local hospital. After you convert the imperial measurements to metric, you enter the data in a table:
Weight (kg)Length (cm)
3.63 53.1
3.02 49.7
3.82 48.4
3.42 54.2
3.59 54.9
2.87 43.7
3.03 47.2
3.46 45.2
3.36 54.4
3.3 50.4

Step 1: Calculate the sums of x and y

Start by renaming the variables to “x” and “y.” It doesn’t matter which variable is called x and which is called y—the formula will give the same answer either way.

Next, add up the values of x and y. (In the formula, this step is indicated by the Σ symbol, which means “take the sum of”.)

Example: Calculating the sums of x and yWeight = x

Length = y

Σx = 3.63 + 3.02 + 3.82 + 3.42 + 3.59 + 2.87 + 3.03 + 3.46 + 3.36 + 3.30

Σx = 33.5

Σy = 53.1 + 49.7 + 48.4 + 54.2 + 54.9 + 43.7 + 47.2 + 45.2 + 54.4 + 50.4

Σy = 501.2

Step 2: Calculate x2 and y2 and their sums

Create two new columns that contain the squares of x and y. Take the sums of the new columns.

Example: Calculating x2 and y2 and their sums 
xyx2y2
3.63 53.1 (3.63)2 = 13.18 (53.1)2 = 2 819.6
3.02 49.7 9.12 2 470.1
3.82 48.4 14.59 2 342.6
3.42 54.2 11.7 2 937.6
3.59 54.9 12.89 3 014
2.87 43.7 8.24 1 909.7
3.03 47.2 9.18 2 227.8
3.46 45.2 11.97 2 043
3.36 54.4 11.29 2 959.4
3.3 50.4 10.89 2 540.2

Σx2 = 13.18 + 9.12 + 14.59 + 11.70 + 12.89 +  8.24 +  9.18 + 11.97 + 11.29 + 10.89

Σx2 = 113.05

Σy2 = 2 819.6 + 2 470.1 + 2 342.6 + 2 937.6 + 3 014.0 + 1 909.7 + 2 227.8 + 2 043.0 + 2 959.4 + 2 540.2

Σy2 = 25 264

Step 3: Calculate the cross product and its sum

In a final column, multiply together x and y (this is called the cross product). Take the sum of the new column.

Example: Calculating the cross product and its sum
xyx2y2xy (x*y)
3.63 53.1 13.18 2 819.6 3.63 * 53.1 = 192.8
3.02 49.7 9.12 2 470.1 150.1
3.82 48.4 14.59 2 342.6 184.9
3.42 54.2 11.7 2 937.6 185.4
3.59 54.9 12.89 3 014 197.1
2.87 43.7 8.24 1 909.7 125.4
3.03 47.2 9.18 2 227.8 143
3.46 45.2 11.97 2 043 156.4
3.36 54.4 11.29 2 959.4 182.8
3.3 50.4 10.89 2 540.2 166.3

Σxy = 192.8 + 150.1 + 184.9 + 185.4 + 197.1 + 125.4 + 143.0 + 156.4 + 182.8 + 166.3

Σxy = 1 684.2

Step 4: Calculate r

Use the formula and the numbers you calculated in the previous steps to find r.

Example: Calculating r
When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

Testing for the significance of the Pearson correlation coefficient

The Pearson correlation coefficient can also be used to test whether the relationship between two variables is significant.

The Pearson correlation of the sample is r. It is an estimate of rho (ρ), the Pearson correlation of the population. Knowing r and n (the sample size), we can infer whether ρ is significantly different from 0.

  • Null hypothesis (H0): ρ = 0
  • Alternative hypothesis (Ha): ρ ≠ 0

To test the hypotheses, you can either use software like R or Stata or you can follow the three steps below.

Step 1: Calculate the t value

Calculate the t value (a test statistic) using this formula:

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

Example: Calculating the t valueThe weight and length of 10 newborns has a Pearson correlation coefficient of .47. Since we know that n = 10 and r = .47, we can calculate the t value:

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

   

When you have a direct correlation both variables change in the same direction?

Step 2: Find the critical value of t

You can find the critical value of t (t*) in a t table. To use the table, you need to know three things:

  • The degrees of freedom (df): For Pearson correlation tests, the formula is df = n – 2.
  • Significance level (α): By convention, the significance level is usually .05.
  • One-tailed or two-tailed: Most often, two-tailed is an appropriate choice for correlations.
Example: Finding the critical value of tFor a two-tailed test of significance at α = .05 and df = 8, the critical value of t (t*) is 1.86.

Step 3: Compare the t value to the critical value

Determine if the absolute t value is greater than the critical value of t. “Absolute” means that if the t value is negative you should ignore the minus sign.

Example: Comparing the t value to the critical value of t (t*)t = 1.506

t* = 1.86

The t value is less than the critical value of t. 

Step 4: Decide whether to reject the null hypothesis

  • If the t value is greater than the critical value, then the relationship is statistically significant (p <  α). The data allows you to reject the null hypothesis and provides support for the alternative hypothesis.
  • If the t value is less than the critical value, then the relationship is not statistically significant (p >  α). The data doesn’t allow you to reject the null hypothesis and doesn’t provide support for the alternative hypothesis.
Example: Deciding whether to reject the null hypothesisFor the correlation between weight and height in a sample of 10 newborns, the t value is less than the critical value of t. Therefore, we don’t reject the null hypothesis that the Pearson correlation coefficient of the population (ρ) is 0. There is no significant relationship between weight and height (p > .05).

(Note that a sample size of 10 is very small. It’s possible that you would find a significant relationship if you increased the sample size.)

Reporting the Pearson correlation coefficient

If you decide to include a Pearson correlation (r) in your paper or thesis, you should report it in your results section. You can follow these rules if you want to report statistics in APA Style:

  • You don’t need to provide a reference or formula since the Pearson correlation coefficient is a commonly used statistic.
  • You should italicize r when reporting its value.
  • You shouldn’t include a leading zero (a zero before the decimal point) since the Pearson correlation coefficient can’t be greater than one or less than negative one.
  • You should provide two significant digits after the decimal point.

When Pearson’s correlation coefficient is used as an inferential statistic (to test whether the relationship is significant), r is reported alongside its degrees of freedom and p value. The degrees of freedom are reported in parentheses beside r.

Example: Reporting the Pearson correlation coefficient in APA StyleNewborns’ weight and length were moderately correlated, although the relationship was not statistically significant, r(8) = .47, p > .17.

Frequently asked questions about the Pearson correlation coefficient

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What is the correlation between two variables if they change in the same direction?

A positive correlation is evident when two variables move in the same direction. An inverse correlation is evident when two variables move in the opposite direction.

When two variables are correlated it is implied that one causes the other?

Correlation tests for a relationship between two variables. However, seeing two variables moving together does not necessarily mean we know whether one variable causes the other to occur. This is why we commonly say “correlation does not imply causation.”

When two variables have a positive correlation they tend to move in the same direction?

The direction can be positive or negative. Positive: In a positive relationship both variables tend to move in the same direction: If one variable increases, the other tends to also increase. If one decreases, the other tends to also. In the example above, GPA and MathSAT are positively related.

What is an example of a direct correlation?

The more time you spend running on a treadmill, the more calories you will burn. The longer your hair grows, the more shampoo you will need. The more money you save, the more financially secure you feel. As the temperature goes up, ice cream sales also go up.