How long does it take a given amount of money to triple itself if the money is invested at a nominal interest rate of 12% compounded monthly?

Calculating compound interest is complicated. Luckily, there’s a simple shortcut that helps you estimate how a fixed interest rate will affect your savings: the Rule of 72.

The Basics

The Rule of 72 is a tool used to estimate how long it will take an investment to double at a given interest rate, assuming a fixed annual rate of interest. All you need to use the tool is an interest rate, which means you can make estimates for your current account rate or use this rule to know what rate you should look for if you want to double your money by a specific deadline.

To figure out how long it will take to double your money, take the fixed annual interest rate and divide that number into 72. Let’s say your interest rate is 8%. 72 ∕ 8 = 9, so it will take about 9 years to double your money. A 10% interest rate will double your investment in about 7 years (72 ∕ 10 = 7.2); an amount invested at a 12% interest rate will double in about 6 years (72 ∕ 12 = 6).

Using the Rule of 72, you can easily determine how long it will take to double your money.

To figure out what interest rate to look for, use the same basic formula, but run it backward: divide 72 by the number of years. So if you want to double your money in about 6 years, look for an interest rate of 12%.

The basic algebraic formula looks like this, where Y is the number of years and r is the interest rate:

Y = 72 ∕ r and r = 72 ∕ Y

This rule works for interest rates from about 4% up to about 20%; after that, the error becomes significant and more straightforward math is required.

Illustration: Chelsea Miller

Why 72?

Here, we merely scrape the surface of that “more straightforward math.” To really dive deep into why the rule works, check out this article.

The Rule of 72 is itself an estimation. It uses a concept called natural logarithms to estimate compounding periods. In mathematics, the natural logarithm is the amount of time needed to reach a particular level of growth using continuous compounding.

For math enthusiasts out there: it is easiest to see how this works through continuously compounded interest. (The Rule of 72 addresses annually compounded interest, but we’ll get there in a minute.)

When dealing with continuously compounding interest, you can work out the exact time it takes an investment to double by using the time value of money formula (TVM) and simplifying the equation until eventually, you are left with something like this:

ln(2)= rY

The natural log (ln) of 2 is about 0.693. Solve for interest rate (r) or number of years (Y), and then multiply by 100 to express as a percentage or year, respectively.

Click here to read how this tool works, and for disclaimers.

Click here to read how this tool works, and for disclaimers.

Wait...

If our new formula is based on the number 69.3 (0.693 × 100), that begs the question: Why isn’t it called the Rule of 69.3?

First, that just doesn’t sound quite as good as “The Rule of 72.” Second, there are two points to remember:

1. The “Rule of 69.3” is not an estimation. It is the actual amount of time that it will take money to double, and works for any range of interest rates.

2. The Rule of 69.3 works for continuously compounded interest. The Rule of 72 works for a fixed annual rate of interest.

The math equation for fixed annual interest is slightly more complex, and simplifying it leaves us with approximately 72.7.

Normally, we would round up to 73. However, 72 is much easier to work with, as it is readily divisible by 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, and 12. As we are already estimating, convenience wins out, and we are left with the Rule of 72.

History

The Rule of 72 was first introduced in the late fifteenth century by the Franciscan friar and Italian mathematician Luca Pacioli. A contemporary of Leonardo da Vinci, Pacioli is considered by many to be the father of accounting. The Rule of 72 was introduced in his book Summa de arithmetica, geometria, proportioni et proportionalita, published in 1494 for use as a textbook for schools in what is now northern Italy.

What Is the Rule of 72?

The Rule of 72 is a quick, useful formula that is popularly used to estimate the number of years required to double the invested money at a given annual rate of return. Alternatively, it can compute the annual rate of compounded return from an investment given how many years it will take to double the investment.

While calculators and spreadsheet programs like Microsoft Excel have functions to accurately calculate the precise time required to double the invested money, the Rule of 72 comes in handy for mental calculations to quickly gauge an approximate value. For this reason, the Rule of 72 is often taught to beginning investors as it is easy to comprehend and calculate. The Security and Exchange Commission also cites the Rule of 72 in grade-level financial literacy resources.

Key Takeaways

• The Rule of 72 is a simplified formula that calculates how long it'll take for an investment to double in value, based on its rate of return.
• The Rule of 72 applies to compounded interest rates and is reasonably accurate for interest rates that fall in the range of 6% and 10%.
• The Rule of 72 can be applied to anything that increases exponentially, such as GDP or inflation; it can also indicate the long-term effect of annual fees on an investment's growth.
• This estimation tool can also be used to estimate the rate of return needed for an investment to double given an investment period.
• For different situations, it's often better to use the Rule of 69, Rule of 70, or Rule of 73.

Rule of 72

The Formula for the Rule of 72

The Rule of 72 can be leveraged in two different ways to determine an expected doubling period or required rate of return.

Years To Double: 72 / Expected Rate of Return

To calculate the time period an investment will double, divide the integer 72 by the expected rate of return. The formula relies on a single average rate over the life of the investment. The findings hold true for fractional results, as all decimals represent an additional portion of a year.

Expected Rate of Return: 72 / Years To Double

To calculate the expected rate of interest, divide the integer 72 by the number of years required to double your investment. The number of years does not need to be a whole number; the formula can handle fractions or portions of a year. In addition, the resulting expected rate of return assumes compounding interest at that rate over the entire holding period of an investment.

The Rule of 72 applies to cases of compound interest, not simple interest. Simple interest is determined by multiplying the daily interest rate by the principal amount and by the number of days that elapse between payments. Compound interest is calculated on both the initial principal and the accumulated interest of previous periods of a deposit.

How to Use the Rule of 72

The Rule of 72 could apply to anything that grows at a compounded rate, such as population, macroeconomic numbers, charges, or loans. If the gross domestic product (GDP) grows at 4% annually, the economy will be expected to double in 72 / 4% = 18 years.

With regards to the fee that eats into investment gains, the Rule of 72 can be used to demonstrate the long-term effects of these costs. A mutual fund that charges 3% in annual expense fees will reduce the investment principal to half in around 24 years. A borrower who pays 12% interest on their credit card (or any other form of loan that is charging compound interest) will double the amount they owe in six years.

The rule can also be used to find the amount of time it takes for money's value to halve due to inflation. If inflation is 6%, then a given purchasing power of the money will be worth half in around 12 years (72 / 6 = 12). If inflation decreases from 6% to 4%, an investment will be expected to lose half its value in 18 years, instead of 12 years.

Additionally, the Rule of 72 can be applied across all kinds of durations provided the rate of return is compounded annually. If the interest per quarter is 4% (but interest is only compounded annually), then it will take (72 / 4) = 18 quarters or 4.5 years to double the principal. If the population of a nation increases at the rate of 1% per month, it will double in 72 months, or six years.

Who Came Up With the Rule of 72?

The Rule of 72 dates back to 1494 when Luca Pacioli referenced the rule in his comprehensive mathematics book called Summa de Arithmetica. Pacioli makes no derivation or explanation of why the rule may work, so some suspect the rule pre-dates Pacioli's novel.

How Do You Calculate the Rule of 72?

Here's how the Rule of 72 works. You take the number 72 and divide it by the investment's projected annual return. The result is the number of years, approximately, it'll take for your money to double.

For example, if an investment scheme promises an 8% annual compounded rate of return, it will take approximately nine years (72 / 8 = 9) to double the invested money. Note that a compound annual return of 8% is plugged into this equation as 8, and not 0.08, giving a result of nine years (and not 900).

If it takes nine years to double a $1,000 investment, then the investment will grow to $2,000 in year 9, $4,000 in year 18, $8,000 in year 27, and so on.

How Accurate Is the Rule of 72?

The Rule of 72 formula provides a reasonably accurate, but approximate, timeline—reflecting the fact that it's a simplification of a more complex logarithmic equation. To get the exact doubling time, you'd need to do the entire calculation.

The precise formula for calculating the exact doubling time for an investment earning a compounded interest rate of r% per period is:

To find out exactly how long it would take to double an investment that returns 8% annually, you would use the following equation:

T = ln(2) / ln (1 + (8 / 100)) = 9.006 years

As you can see, this result is very close to the approximate value obtained by (72 / 8) = 9 years.

What Is the Difference Between the Rule of 72 and the Rule of 73?

The rule of 72 primarily works with interest rates or rates of return that fall in the range of 6% and 10%. When dealing with rates outside this range, the rule can be adjusted by adding or subtracting 1 from 72 for every 3 points the interest rate diverges from the 8% threshold. For example, the rate of 11% annual compounding interest is 3 percentage points higher than 8%.

Hence, adding 1 (for the 3 points higher than 8%) to 72 leads to using the rule of 73 for higher precision. For a 14% rate of return, it would be the rule of 74 (adding 2 for 6 percentage points higher), and for a 5% rate of return, it will mean reducing 1 (for 3 percentage points lower) to lead to the rule of 71.

For example, say you have a very attractive investment offering a 22% rate of return. The basic rule of 72 says the initial investment will double in 3.27 years. However, since (22 – 8) is 14, and (14 ÷ 3) is 4.67 ≈ 5, the adjusted rule should use 72 + 5 = 77 for the numerator. This gives a value of 3.5 years, indicating that you'll have to wait an additional quarter to double your money compared to the result of 3.27 years obtained from the basic rule of 72. The period given by the logarithmic equation is 3.49, so the result obtained from the adjusted rule is more accurate.

For daily or continuous compounding, using 69.3 in the numerator gives a more accurate result. Some people adjust this to 69 or 70 for the sake of easy calculations.

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